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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">actabiomedica</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Acta Biomedica Scientifica</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Acta Biomedica Scientifica</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2541-9420</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2587-9596</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Scientific Centre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">actabiomedica-119</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭПИДЕМИОЛОГИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>EPIDEMIOLOGY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ОЦЕНКА ЭПИЗООТИЧЕСКОЙ СИТУАЦИИ ПО ЧУМЕ ПРИАРАЛЬСКО- КАРАКУМСКОГО ПРИРОДНОГО ОЧАГА ЧУМЫ КАЗАХСТАНА В ВЕСЕННЕ-ЛЕТНИЙ ПЕРИОД 2013 г.</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>EVALUATION OF PLAGUE EPIZOOTIC CONDITION OF PREARAL-QARAQYM PLAGUE FOCUS OF KAZAKHSTAN IN SPRING AND SUMMER TIME OF 2013</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сагиев</surname><given-names>З. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sagiyev</surname><given-names>Z. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">zsagiyev@kscqzd.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Абдел</surname><given-names>З. Ж.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Abdel</surname><given-names>Z. Z.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">abdeliyevz@kscqzd.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Абдирасилова</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Abdirasilova</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">aabdirasilova@kscqzd.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мусагалиева</surname><given-names>Р. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mussagaliyeva</surname><given-names>R. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">rmussagaliyeva@kscqzd.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Матжанова</surname><given-names>А. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Matzhanova</surname><given-names>A. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">a.matganova@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ермеков</surname><given-names>Г. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Yermekov</surname><given-names>G. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">kyzylordapchs@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бодыков</surname><given-names>М. З.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Bodykov</surname><given-names>M. Z.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">kyzylordapchs@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ильясова</surname><given-names>И. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ilyasova</surname><given-names>I. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">kyzylordapchs@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Молдабеков</surname><given-names>Б. К.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Moldabekov</surname><given-names>B. K.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">kyzylordapchs@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Альжанов</surname><given-names>Т. Ш.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Alzhanov</surname><given-names>T. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">t.alzhanov73@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Есмаганбетов</surname><given-names>Ж. О.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Yesmaganbetov</surname><given-names>Z. O.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">t.alzhanov73@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бурамбаева</surname><given-names>М. У.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Burambayeva</surname><given-names>M. U.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">maira_burambaeva@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бурханова</surname><given-names>Г. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Burkhanova</surname><given-names>G. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">anaraphs@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Жаниязов</surname><given-names>Н. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zhaniyazov</surname><given-names>N. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">anaraphs@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Казахский научный центр карантинных и зоонозных инфекций им. М. Айкимбаева</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>M. Aikimbayev Kazakh Scientific Center for Quarantine and Zoonotic Diseases</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Кызылординская противочумная станция</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Qyzylorda Anti-plague Station</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Араломорская противочумная станция</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Qyzylorda Anti-plague Station</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-4"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Араломорская противочумная станция</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Aral Anti-plague station</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2015</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>28</day><month>09</month><year>2015</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>5</issue><fpage>75</fpage><lpage>78</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Сагиев З.А., Абдел З.Ж., Абдирасилова А.А., Мусагалиева Р.С., Матжанова А.М., Ермеков Г.Н., Бодыков М.З., Ильясова И.С., Молдабеков Б.К., Альжанов Т.Ш., Есмаганбетов Ж.О., Бурамбаева М.У., Бурханова Г.М., Жаниязов Н.А., 2015</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2015</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Сагиев З.А., Абдел З.Ж., Абдирасилова А.А., Мусагалиева Р.С., Матжанова А.М., Ермеков Г.Н., Бодыков М.З., Ильясова И.С., Молдабеков Б.К., Альжанов Т.Ш., Есмаганбетов Ж.О., Бурамбаева М.У., Бурханова Г.М., Жаниязов Н.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Sagiyev Z.A., Abdel Z.Z., Abdirasilova A.A., Mussagaliyeva R.S., Matzhanova A.M., Yermekov G.N., Bodykov M.Z., Ilyasova I.S., Moldabekov B.K., Alzhanov T.S., Yesmaganbetov Z.O., Burambayeva M.U., Burkhanova G.M., Zhaniyazov N.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.actabiomedica.ru/jour/article/view/119">https://www.actabiomedica.ru/jour/article/view/119</self-uri><abstract><p>В комплексе эпидемиологического мониторинга за чумой использование моделирование в программе ArcGIS 10 является инструментом для определения мест высокого риска заражения населения, пребывающего на энзоотичной по чуме территории, и позволяет целенаправленно проводитъ профилактические мероприятия в радиусе эпизоотии, проводитъ рекогносцировочные исследования в комплексе ретроспективных эпизоотических данных с использованием модели направления развития эпизоотии, проводитъ градацию территории по степени риска в зависимости от локализации центра эпизоотии, вычисленного в программе.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>In the Republic of Kazakhstan, there a re the natural plague foci. For the analysis, the passport data of plague epizooty activity in the PreAral-Qaraqym plague focus of Qyzylorda Province were collected. The data were received in the spring and summer seasons of2013. For the research of plague epizooty, the places ofstucfy were determined. The selection of places was based on the parameters as a presence of settlements, annual data of plague epizooty activity in the focus. Then the places were studied by serological and bacteriological methods; and the plague epizooty was found in some of them. During spring and summer seasons the plague strains were isolatedfrom the plague hostRhombomys opimus and plague vectors X. skrjabini, H. asiaticum, N. laeviceps, Cit. tesguorum, E. oshanini. For spatial and temporal analysis, the received positive data were processed by ArcGIS 10 program. The tasks of the analysis were definition of the plague epizooty center for plague risk zoning of the area; definition of direction of the plague epizooty for calculation of possibility of the plague epizooty increasing; calculation of plague epizooty radius for conducting of plague prophylaxis measures; definition of zones where the possibility to be infected with plague is high for population. The plague epizooty model of PreAral-Qaraqym plague focus was created, in the framework of plague epidemiological surveillance system, application the modeling in program ArcGIS 10 is useful instrument for detection of plague risk areas, and conduction of plague prophylaxis measures for protection of local population form the plague.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>чума</kwd><kwd>эпизоотия</kwd><kwd>ГИС</kwd><kwd>модель</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>plague</kwd><kwd>epizooty</kwd><kwd>GIS</kwd><kwd>model</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">AikimbayevA, Meka-Mechenko Т, Temiraliyeva G, Sagiyev Z, Kalzhan K, Mukhambetova AK (2003]. Plague peculiarities in Kazakhstan at present time. Przeglad epidemiologiczny, 57 (4], 593-598</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">AikimbayevA, Meka-Mechenko Т, Temiraliyeva G, Sagiyev Z, Kalzhan K, Mukhambetova AK (2003]. Plague peculiarities in Kazakhstan at present time. Przeglad epidemiologiczny, 57 (4], 593-598</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
